The Moondance Theory
The ClubHouse: Archives: The Moondance Theory
Merlin | Sunday, April 08, 2001 - 08:02 am  I am hoping that Amber teams up with Roger and Elisabeth. When the two of them voted against Amber in episode 10, I felt that it was a lost cause at that point. It surprised me that they would vote against the only person who would be a possibility for keeping them in the game. Trying to rationalize why they voted against Amber produced a couple scenarios. It could have been out of spite because Jerri and Amber had voted for Elisabeth previously. I can't see Roger and Elisabeth making a spiteful vote against Amber when their survival is at stake. Maybe someone from Ogakor was pretending to make an alliance with Roger and Elisabeth and told them they were voting out Amber. If this were true, Nick would have never voted for Keith because Nick knew he was a likely target and would have not risked a spiteful vote against Keith. For some unknown reason, I have felt that country boy Roger has an unseen knack for strategy. Roger can see that Amber is the best choice for his and Elisabeth's survival. Roger had to get rid of Nick but at the same time keep Nick's support during the jury vote. If the Ogakors voted out Nick, it would mean that he and Elisabeth would not have to. Roger has to slowly pick off Tina, Keith and Colby with never knowing who will get immunity. By voting against Amber in episode 10, it would make Amber an unlikely suspect when 3 votes turned up against Colby, Keith, or Tina. The not knowing who turned traitor of the 4 Ogakors that currently remain could be an advantage for Roger and Elisabeth until Tina, Keith and Colby are all eliminated. Could Roger sell this plan to Amber? I think so. Roger would point out that Amber would have to be taken out next when all of Kucha is gone. Her chances for immunity are less when she is going against Tina, Keith and Colby. Roger would point out that she stands a better chance of getting immunity if it is just Amber, Roger and Elisabeth left. Roger would remind Amber that her survival is at stake and her old team members have already left her out of the group when they voted Jerri out. Roger would be very convincing that his word can be trusted because in reality it probably can be trusted, not a hard sell for him. In summary, there is a reason other than spite that Roger and Elisabeth voted for Amber. I am hoping it is a strategy that includes Amber. I have to consider it is a strategy that may include someone else from Ogakor, and if it is
.my guess is Tina. Tina is also a strategist and a good player of this game. And in an effort to keep this equal, feel free to substitue Elisabeth's name where I used Roger. Elisabeth could be the author of this scheme just as well. For the record, I want Roger and Elisabeth to be the final two. |
Moondance | Sunday, April 08, 2001 - 09:07 am  LOL MagicMan... title is too funny! I am so glad though someone sees some logic in it ... of course you explained it much better than I did! I didn't think about the Rodger factor ... that could be it! I can see Elisabeth or Rodger coming up with it and Amber jumping on board! |
Moondance | Monday, April 09, 2001 - 08:54 pm  Merlins words need to be at the top! |
|