Colby's next move

The ClubHouse: Archives: Colby's next move

Silverager

Friday, April 20, 2001 - 05:50 am Click here to edit this post
OK, I knew Colby was pretty safe this week, as T/K would not want to give up their one person advantage... but now that he has won yet another IC, he must be definately in everyone's sights for the next elimination - so what can he do to stay alive (assuming he does not win a 4th IC)?

Now is the time to break rank with T/K. Kieth's 2 votes last night put him one vote ahead of Colby. If I were Colby I would approach Bessy (now we know what to call her!) and try to convince her to vote for Keith. Keith will lose in a tiebreaker whether T/K vote for Bessy or Colby.

Obviously T/K are not going to sit around like sheep and will probably approach both Colby and Bessy - but If Colby sides with them to vote off Bessy, he know that he will go the next time around, as Keith and Tina have always voted together. If Bessy sides with T/K to vote off C, then she will be the next to go for the same reason... she has seen that Colby is not as firmly allied w/T so her chances of maintaining an alliance with him are greater than facing T/K and hoping to win immunity - Colby should point this out to her is she does not alreadr realise it.

OK, say she goes for it and they vote out Keith. Now Colby must approach Tina and explain that the reason he broke rank was to eliminate his major IC competition (We see that Keith almost took it this week). Even if Tina's feathers are still ruffled by Colby's defection, she has to realize she has a better chance against Colby in the the final 2 than Bessy. So they vote out Bessy...

Final votes (my best guess):

Kieth - Tina
Bessy - Tina
Amber - Colby
Jerri - Colby
Rodger - Tina
Alicia - Colby
Nick - Colby

I am hoping the Alicia & Nick vote Colby after seeing Tina's machinations and being swayed by Jerri... anyhow I think this is the Colbster's best bet... what do you all think?

Wilsonatmd

Friday, April 20, 2001 - 09:35 am Click here to edit this post
You make some good points, but I think the only way that he could win a jury vote would be to keep Keith. Against Tina its 50/50 to win at best, and against Liz I think he doen't get a single vote. The problem is, the only way that happens if he wins out. I don't see that happening. Perhaps he takes his chances with Tina, but if Keith wins immunity he's finished. if Liz gets immunity he may have a chance, if Tina wins immunity he doesn't have a chance.

Seamonkey

Friday, April 20, 2001 - 10:29 am Click here to edit this post
Colby was safe this week because he won immunity!! And, I think his next move is..
across the bridge and onto the jury!!

Sorry, Silver, gotta call em as I see em..

I think when they get to the final three the voting changes anyway.

Time Will Tell....

Bijoux

Friday, April 20, 2001 - 10:52 am Click here to edit this post
When Colby was deciding who to vote for this week he said that he was trading off on whether to pick the person that he felt he could beat or the person who he felt that he could be happy for if that person won a million dollars. I think that the Colby/Keith/Tina alliance was over last week when Colby and Amber voted for Rodger and everyone else for Amber. Colby saying it later was just a formality. Unless he wins another immunity challenge, Colby will be chowing down at the ranch.

Grooch

Friday, April 20, 2001 - 11:03 am Click here to edit this post
I must say that I was happy to see that it was Colby that won immunity and not Keith. Just so we could see who Colby would pick after he did say all that about who deserves to win.

Silverager

Friday, April 20, 2001 - 11:13 am Click here to edit this post
Seamonkey, I think Colby was safe this week, Immunity or not... T/K knew that if they evened things up that Kieth would be voted off next week by losing on a tie vote, and then R/E would outnumber T and vote her off next time. Getting Rid of Colby would have been tantamount to suicide...

Wilson, you make a very good point that Colby would have a much better chance vs K than T in the final 2... but how to get there with him is the big question... really, Colby would have to win the next 2 immunities. Knock off Bessy with K/T next week and the following week if he won IC he would get the sole vote and could boot Tina.

I think this is quite a long shot, but you are right - he needs to be up against Keith to win it all... my above speculation is what he could do without the help of immunity. If he does not get it next week, I think it is his only course of action... it will be a tense show for me (the sole Colby booster in these parts!)

Seamonkey

Friday, April 20, 2001 - 05:55 pm Click here to edit this post
Awww, Silver!! Colby's lucky to have such an advocate, but I'm sure you aren't the only one.

Grooch

Tuesday, April 24, 2001 - 08:07 am Click here to edit this post
Silver & Grod,

Here's a theory. Colby makes it to the final two. Why is it a possibility? Because Jerri never had any closure w/ Colby. In her interviews, she said she never knew he felt that way, and he used her. If he had gotten voted off, they would have spent time together and discussed it. What do you think?

Silverager

Tuesday, April 24, 2001 - 08:43 am Click here to edit this post
Grooch, I had considered that as well, and it does bode well for Colby... the one hitch is that I have read that Colby and Nick became pretty chummy and it is assumed that they had become friendly at the ranch because we never saw them spending much time together on the show. Hmmmm... I will still go with your original hypothesis, mainly because Jerri seems to be the type of person who would not waste anytime confronting Colby as soon as she got the opportunity.

GO COLBY!
GO AWAY TINA!