The AOL poll
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TV ClubHouse: Archive: American Idol (FOX): The AOL poll
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Archive through April 29, 2003 25   05/03 09:00pm

Mygetaway

Wednesday, April 30, 2003 - 06:45 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
New POll.. Numbers coming in fast and furious..


Ruben 47% 7520

Clay 30% 4878

Kim 12% 1869

Josh 11% 1757

This was at 6:40 PT

Mygetaway

Wednesday, April 30, 2003 - 09:16 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
9:15 PT

Ruben 47% 35,361

Clay 31% 23,160

Kim 12% 8,916

Josh 11% 8,222

Demeter

Wednesday, April 30, 2003 - 09:36 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
I don't think the AOL poll means anything other than entertainment for those who use AOL.

I don't use AOL. Votes are made by phone, not online, so the actual votes include all those who don't use computers regularly, and surprisingly that is still a large number of people.

It also seems that the AOL poll gets skewed by the fact that it begins before the contestants perform on Tuesday. There are those who will vote based on what happens on the Tuesday show, rather than a cumulative vote.

Maris

Saturday, May 03, 2003 - 05:05 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
An update:

45%
Ruben Studdard 81,576

33%
Clay Aiken 59,326

12%
Kimberley Locke 21,839

10%
Joshua Gracin 17,747

Total votes: 180,488

Pamy

Saturday, May 03, 2003 - 06:55 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
Another reason this poll is not all that accurate is that people from all over the world can go to AOL, only people in the USA can call.

Seamonkey

Saturday, May 03, 2003 - 07:03 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
But what is "accurate"? The AOL poll at least gives the numbers.. I think the AOL poll simply says how people with access to AOL feel about the IDOLS.. those who even choose to participate in the poll. It has almost never been a reflection of the outcome of the show..

Yo, Pamy!!

Maris

Saturday, May 03, 2003 - 08:17 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
Its just for fun. I wouldnt take it to Vegas. However, as a Kim fan, I am concerned that my prediction for the next show will come through.

Seamonkey

Saturday, May 03, 2003 - 08:35 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
Yeah.. I'm quite worried.. but all I can do is vote as fast as I can for Kim. I only have one line, so that is that. I do think she's going to get the short straw this week :(

Maris

Saturday, May 03, 2003 - 08:43 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
Well, I am going to go to all the AOL singles sites on Tuesday night and post, for an exciting time that doesnt cost a thing call and add the number for Kim. That will take care of all those folks in the church basement, lol.

Llkoolaid

Saturday, May 03, 2003 - 09:00 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
Lol Maris, give it a shot it just might work.

Sadiesmom

Saturday, May 03, 2003 - 09:12 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
Perhaps more people on AOL prefer Rueben. Many people are not on AOL. The on-line polls are always very strange anyway. They are always not reflective of real life.

Some places refuse to accept e-mail because it is too easy to fake.

Seamonkey

Saturday, May 03, 2003 - 11:17 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
Sadies.. that is a string of true statements, but I'm not sure what it means for this thread, which is just a place to post the poll, since people in various threads had asked for the info. The last sentence doesn't seem to relate at all to the subject at hand. What does email have to do with the poll?

Clearly more people on AOL are voting for Ruben, but only once per screename.

Newsweek polls probably reflect the opinions of whatever group uses that website, and so on..

And the phone in votes reflect, presumably, the number of phone in votes.

Maris.. that is actually an excellent idea!!

Sadiesmom

Saturday, May 03, 2003 - 11:44 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
Never mind seamonkey. I guess I find AOL polls are the most off al all polls. Maybe they are children heavy. I don't know. You were discussing its validity before so I threw in some random thoughts.

Maris

Tuesday, May 06, 2003 - 04:37 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
just for the heck of it, the pre show poll:



46%
Ruben Studdard 178,110

32%
Clay Aiken 122,085

12%
Kimberley Locke 46,021

10%
Joshua Gracin 40,184

Total votes: 386,400

Seamonkey

Wednesday, May 07, 2003 - 12:02 am EditMoveDeleteIP
update:


46% now 46%
Ruben Studdard 178,110 now 343,501

32% now 32%
Clay Aiken 122,085 now 234,261

12% now 11% :(
Kimberley Locke 46,021 now 78,924

10% now 11%
Joshua Gracin 40,184 now 84,142

Total votes: 386,400 now 740,828

But.. I was only able to vote with one screename so something is amiss/changed. I wonder if people were hitting them with lots of free signups and voting all the screennames and so on..

Surealityjunkie

Wednesday, May 07, 2003 - 04:06 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
Update before the Elimination Show:

Ruben: 48% -- 431,760

Clay: 31% -- 283,458

Joshua: 11% -- 98,211

Kimberley: 10% -- 92,301

Tabbyking

Wednesday, May 07, 2003 - 04:45 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
well, if clay were to get the josh and kim votes once they are gone....
anyway, i know only a few people (personally) with aol accounts, so this isn't 100% of the AI watchers...i hope!
i didn't think ruben was that hot last night. i loved his 'sweet home alabama' the best, so i wish he could showcase more tunes of that sort.
clay...i just wanna squeeze the hell out of him!

Kellirippa

Wednesday, May 07, 2003 - 05:14 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
how have the AOL poles stacked up against the actual outcome in the past?

Tabbyking

Wednesday, May 07, 2003 - 05:22 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
well, they had ruben at 42% or something last week and then he (supposedly) got bottom 2...

Seamonkey

Wednesday, May 07, 2003 - 05:23 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
As the number of contestants has diminished, a bit closer.

Trenyce was actually in last place in the week she was booted. But Ruben has been significantly ahead of Clay for weeks.

So, hard to say how it will go tonight.

Mygetaway

Wednesday, May 07, 2003 - 06:12 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
They changed the poll. Now they are asking who should be voted off next, AND who should win..

Kim is voted for next off and Ruben is top for winner..


(And it let me vote on other screen names Sea)

Seamonkey

Wednesday, May 07, 2003 - 06:27 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
MGA. I hope it doesn't mess with my other screen names this time.. I even logged on with a different computer and aol 7.0 just in case it was a beta problem, but no.. I'll have to go check it out.

kimtowin...

Mygetaway

Wednesday, May 07, 2003 - 07:00 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
Either it didn't take my first round of votes, or they are letting you vote as many times as you want now.. Hmmmm

Now it's saying I already voted.. Maybe I missed the top 2 the first time around. We have all 7 names, because we have 6 computer users in the house! I told the kids they have to vote for who I want.. They are usually wanting too anyway.

Seamonkey

Wednesday, May 07, 2003 - 07:09 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
It let me vote once per screenname..

Pagal

Wednesday, May 14, 2003 - 05:25 am EditMoveDeleteIP
Could someone update the AOL poll for us? TIA!

Maris

Wednesday, May 14, 2003 - 05:40 am EditMoveDeleteIP
Who should be voted off the show next?

57%
Kimberley Locke 546,586

27%
Clay Aiken 253,716

16%
Ruben Studdard 151,956

Total votes: 952,258

Who do you think should be the ultimate winner?

52%
Ruben Studdard 511,819

39%
Clay Aiken 385,193

9%
Kimberley Locke 91,939

Total votes: 988,951

Pagal

Wednesday, May 14, 2003 - 05:44 am EditMoveDeleteIP
Thanks Maris!

Maris

Wednesday, May 14, 2003 - 05:07 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
an hour before showtime (just remember they dont mean crap, Kim will pull it out):

Who should be voted off the show next?

56%
Kimberley Locke 637,460

27%
Clay Aiken 313,954
17%
Ruben Studdard 193,163

Total votes: 1,144,577

Who do you think should be the ultimate winner?

51%
Ruben Studdard 604,112

39%
Clay Aiken 459,288

10%
Kimberley Locke 117,181

Total votes: 1,180,581

Note on Poll Results

Maris

Monday, May 19, 2003 - 03:31 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
the cnn poll:

Who will be the next "American Idol"?

Clay Aiken 57% 52578 votes

Ruben Studdard 43% 40189 votes
Total: 92767 votes

Maris

Monday, May 19, 2003 - 03:35 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
and then there is the AOL poll:

Who do you think should be the ultimate winner?

56%
Ruben Studdard 420,634

44%
Clay Aiken 336,805

Total votes: 757,439

Tabbyking

Monday, May 19, 2003 - 03:47 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
the differences in percentages seems to be that only AOL users can vote in the one poll, while other polls are open to everyone. i have a feeling both our guys are pretty neck and neck....i would be surprised if it were more than perhaps 52/48 or something, either way.

now, we don't actually get to place any calls until tomorrow night, correct?

Crossfire

Monday, May 19, 2003 - 04:42 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
It is interesting to see what the AOL poll comes up with as I doubt we will be seeing that spread in the final tally as I don't think the phone lines have the capacity to sustain such results.

I am expecting a very, very close race with fans of both reporting steady busy signals.

Assuming that both have the same resources allocated to them, three hours of saturation calling will only prove that both have more fans than the phones can handle, and if both lines are saturated as I expect them to be, I imagine a phone engineer who manages this setup could tell you right now using basic mathematics how many calls each will get accurate to within a percentage point or two which will be something approaching the theoretical maximum.

The final winner is shaping up to be almost as random as a coin toss.

Maris

Wednesday, May 21, 2003 - 03:30 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
last AOL poll:

Who do you think should be the ultimate winner?

55%
Ruben Studdard 832,236

45%
Clay Aiken 671,995

Total votes: 1,504,23

Seamonkey

Wednesday, May 21, 2003 - 08:24 pm EditMoveDeleteIP
New AOL Poll: Did Ruben Studdard deserve to win "American idol"?

59% 116,673 Yes, Ruben was the best singer

41% 82,166 No, Clay was more talented.

198,839

number changing changing changing..