Vote Predictions?
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TV ClubHouse: Archives: Archive Two: Vote Predictions?
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Archive through August 08, 2002 25   08/08 07:01am

Eden

Thursday, August 08, 2002 - 07:19 am EditMoveDeleteIP
Maybe Josh will realize that anything he hears coming out of Eric's mouth came from Roddy first. He should switch alliances now while he can. His vote will never be more important than next week (twist not withstanding).

Jaysgal

Thursday, August 08, 2002 - 07:33 am EditMoveDeleteIP
"Why are people thinking that Josh will vote to evict Lisa. He was pretty upset by the conversation he heard between Eric and Gerry. Did something happen after that that would make him want to keep Eric in the house?"

Yes, something else happened. What you watched was an edited version. Josh overheard Eric since days ago. At first, he was upset about it and started to tilt toward the "evict Eric" group. Nonetheless, he changed his view later after sharing with Roddy what he had overheard (if I'm not mistaken). And then he rather began to express concerns to Roddy that it would come to a tie and Eric might be evicted.

I guess as said by someone else, Josh looks up to Roddy as big brother/daddy. Although Eric has badmouthed him, he has a lot to gain from sticking with Roddy's group and getting Roddy's protection than he would have otherwise.

I'm not sure, but I think Roddy has told Josh about Lisa's desire to evict Josh.

So, I am almost convinced days later that Josh will vote to evict Lisa.

I pretty much agree with Pesto's analysis. I think it will be a tie. However, Jason may decide that a tie would expose him and make him extremely vulnerable, unless of course his peers or he is able to win HOH. Hence, I would not be surprised if he votes to evict Lisa. I think Roddy told him how Lisa was more likely to put him up than Eric was likely to, something like that (and I do happen to agree with Roddy here).

If it is a tie, Gerry, as pointed out by someone elsewhere, might end up evicting Lisa because it would be a live vote, right in front of Josh and Roddy. Soemtimes doing something in front of people could be daunting. There isn't enough time to think and adjust.

I hope someone corrects me if I'm mistaken about the facts.

Bmh

Thursday, August 08, 2002 - 07:37 am EditMoveDeleteIP
I am not trying to correct you..because obviously anything can happen...but I seriously doubt that Jason would betray Dani/Marcie and vote to evict Lisa just for his own self..that is very selfish..he pledged allegiance to D/M and would be breaking that trust by voting against Lisa..all 3 agreed to vote against Eric..and as for Gerry..if he even thought about voting out Lisa in the event of a tie..he would be losing D/M/J's trust and has said numerous times that "it's a done deal..Eric will go in a tie vote"..so we will see tonite..but I fully expect a tie vote 3-3

Pesto

Thursday, August 08, 2002 - 08:44 am EditMoveDeleteIP
I still think that Jason will vote Eric out for the reasons that Bmh lists, but hasn't he already told Dan he is concerned with his exposure to Roddy? (I thought I read this on the LFPs) I thought he said that he has to tell Roddy how he is voting; that actually would be the smart thing to do to try and at least appear to be on the up and up. Dan doesn't want this but what can she do about it?

Don't be surprised if Jason comes clean with Roddy and potentially ruins the suspense tonight. Eric's still gone though :)

Woodpecke®

Thursday, August 08, 2002 - 08:56 am EditMoveDeleteIP
Jason is on a roll. He could explain a vote for Eric or Lisa later. It will have no impact on the carefully crafted personality he has created. Jason is playing an excellent game, and he is a winner in my mind. He makes watching this game a joy. (I really liked when his mother referred to the other houseguests as "his family now"). Way to go, Mom!

Pesto

Thursday, August 08, 2002 - 09:08 am EditMoveDeleteIP
Hey woody,

I agree that Jason is playing a great game up to now along with Dani. But that "carefully crafted personality" will only go so far until it starts getting ugly in there. In fact, the further he gets along in the game, the more a vulnerability his "nice guy" image becomes. He will have to lie to win and the person with the best excuse for lying could win the votes of the jury. Remember that there are some pretty spiteful vindictive ppl in the house. I can easily see half the house not voting for Jason after they are thrown because of a perception that his lies are some how worse than others. Of course they're not but perceptions are everything. I think his one sure vote in the end is Roddy, because he is smart enough to reward genius when he sees it. The rest of them, who knows?

Will won last year (a side from a little luck) in large part because he said he would lie and did. Doesn't look like Jason will be in that position...

Spunky

Thursday, August 08, 2002 - 09:12 am EditMoveDeleteIP
Took a minute at coffe break to check in here. I like that no one is sure who will go and by coming here this time I don't find any spoiler. That's good, but like you, I'm quite curious how it will go.
I'm surprised though none of you could tell by the behaviour. I mean, did you notice if they're being nicer to Eric or to Lisa? You could tell by that who's staying and who's going.
I'm also surprised that Eric thinks of the next HOH, how can he be so sure?? On the other hand, it makes me think that if he says that someone must have told him how they voted.
But don't you think that Lisa and Eric must know who's going and how they relate to one another?
I don't have the feed but I'm pretty sure I could tell by their body language.
Anywa, we'll have to wait and see...

Woodpecke®

Thursday, August 08, 2002 - 09:18 am EditMoveDeleteIP
Yes Pesto, I see potential problems for Jason later in the game. His resolve to maintain a calm demeanor will be tested repeatedly. His next move should be to get Josh out of the game. He is the one most likely to cause Jason to lose his focus. (Will's victory in BB2 is still amazing to me.)

Crazydog

Thursday, August 08, 2002 - 09:22 am EditMoveDeleteIP
Even though Josh overheard the Eric/Gerry conversation, Josh absolutely despises Lisa. He was the one who pushed so hard to Gerry that Lisa has to go. I do think Eric will be going regardless because of the tiebreaker, but I am not convinced that Josh would vote to evict Eric. Eric has shown that he is voting along party lines with Roddy, but he doesn't trust Lisa.

Odumase

Thursday, August 08, 2002 - 09:30 am EditMoveDeleteIP
Look - is Eric gone for sure or not?? I created a thread about this earlier and the consensus seemed to be that Eric was geting evicted but now it seems people are back on that "Jason might vote Lisa out" bandwagon... is Jason FOR SURE voting out Eric or is he switching to Lisa?? Inquiring minds want to know!!

Woodpecke®

Thursday, August 08, 2002 - 09:34 am EditMoveDeleteIP
Eric is 99% certain to go on a trip to Sequesterville.

Dfwteddy

Thursday, August 08, 2002 - 09:39 am EditMoveDeleteIP
Jason will stay with his clique and vote Eric out. He may/may not inform Roddy ahead of time, but either way he'll give a convincing performance and Roddy will still be clueless. The kid is good!