Author |
Message |
Pippin04
Member
10-26-2007
| Saturday, July 23, 2011 - 11:33 am
So this is bugging me. It is on live feeds that JJ will be playing for POV along with the noms and RB. For the third week in a row the four of them played for POV. What are the odds? Anyone know how to figure it out. I can figure out per week but not for all three weeks combined. Also I also think it is odd that the four vets are there with the noms every week. I am not a conspiracy person but this is bothering me.
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Pippin04
Member
10-26-2007
| Saturday, July 23, 2011 - 11:36 am
For the separate weeks the odds areas follows: Week 1 1 in 4 chance of being picked or 25% Week 2 1 in 3 chance of being picked or 33% Week 3 1 in 2 chance of being picked or 50%
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Leroy17
Member
08-01-2010
| Saturday, July 23, 2011 - 12:33 pm
I've always suspected that BB rigs the contents of the bag. It would be easier than ever this year since only one ball gets picked.
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Shenanagon
Member
07-28-2009
| Saturday, July 23, 2011 - 12:53 pm
Twitter was buzzing about that too Leroy17. I think BBUpdates or something posted that and I was tweeting back and forth. I would hope CBS wouldn't do that but they are concerned with ratings and J/J make for great tv. I'm a fan. I'd like to hope regardless that they only win if they earn it.
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Callasin
Member
06-21-2005
| Saturday, July 23, 2011 - 12:54 pm
I am not a conspiracy person either but I have felt there is something wrong about the POV and the HOH this season.
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Shenanagon
Member
07-28-2009
| Saturday, July 23, 2011 - 12:59 pm
The first HOH and POV were easy for Rachel to get both were thrown. So on those 2 we can't blame CBS.
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Chippy
Member
08-16-2007
| Saturday, July 23, 2011 - 1:22 pm
Shocker. JJ gets to play. They'll probably get to win too. Maybe it'll be who can fart the longest and loudest (Jeff) or who has the best blank look on their face most of the time (Jordan). Goody gumdrops.
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Puzzled
Member
08-27-2001
| Saturday, July 23, 2011 - 7:40 pm
I don't think it's odd because I think it's rigged.
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Saba
Member
05-27-2004
| Saturday, July 23, 2011 - 7:57 pm
Maybe BB should have the HOH put the chips/names in the bag so everyone can see it is not rigged.
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Ksbbfan
Member
07-12-2009
| Saturday, July 23, 2011 - 9:34 pm
I really want someone to flip out cause they are not picked, grab the bag & empty it. I have always thought they stacked the bag the way BB wants.

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Chippy
Member
08-16-2007
| Saturday, July 23, 2011 - 9:36 pm
Wasn't it ODD that Rachael got to pick the order of the Jordan HOH? I can't recall the HOH ever doing that before. Anyone?
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Mummy35332
Member
09-09-2005
| Saturday, July 23, 2011 - 9:55 pm
Pippin04, I don't know anything about odds/betting math. I look at your second post and I see they had 3 chances, and during those 3 chances they had 3 chips out of a total of 9 chips. Wouldn't that be an overall chance of 33% chance? That said. Now the chance of all of the same 9 chips being in the bag at the same time and all 3 of them that are pulled being the same would seem to still be 33%, but I'm sure there is some odds/betting math involved that makes it more complicated. 3 in 9, 2 in 8, 1 in 7. Still not an answer to your question, but the question is basically a math question.
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Merrysea
Moderator
08-13-2004
| Saturday, July 23, 2011 - 10:36 pm
Mummy, there were never 9 chips in the bag. The chips each have two names on them; only the pairs are in the bag, so the golden key holders are not in the bag. The HOH pair and the nominated pair are not in the bag. So the first week, Rachel/Brendon's chip was not in there; Keith/Portia's chip was not in there; and Dick/Daniele's chip was not in there. That left Adam/Dom, Cassi/Shelly, Jeff/Jordan and Kalia/Lawon. The second week, Keith/Portia's chip was removed, as was Jeff/Jordan's (but Rachel/Brendon's was put back in). Adam/Dom's was also removed, since they were nominated. So then there was only Cassi/Shelly, Rachel/Brendon and Kalia/Lawon. For week three, Cassi/Shelly's key was pulled, Rachel/Brendon's was not in the bag, and Adam/Dom's was also not in the bag. So there were only Kalia/Lawon and Jeff/Jordan's chip in the bag. That's how the odds of being picked were increased every week.
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Kitt
Member
09-06-2000
| Sunday, July 24, 2011 - 12:25 am
Also isn't there a "you choose" chip in there? Week 1: Rachel and Brendan were HoH. Keith and Porsche nommed. Chips in the bag were J/J, Cassi/Shelly, Adam/Dom, Kalia/Lawon Chance of J/J being drawn = 1/4 = 25% (if there's a "choose" chip in there it increases their chances if we assume R/B would choose them, chance then = 2/5 = 40%) Week 2: J/J were HoH. Adam and Dom nommed. Chips in the bag were R/B, Cassi/Shelly, Kalia/Lawon Chance of R/B being drawn = 1/3 = 33% (if there's a "choose" chip = 2/4 = 50%) Week 3: R/B were HoH. Adam and Dom nommed. Chips in the bag were J/J, Kalia/Lawon Chance of J/J being drawn = 1/2 = 50% (if there's a "choose" chip = 2/3 = 67%) Chance of R/B and J/J being in the POV competition each of the three weeks (given one of the pairs was always HoH) = 25% x 33% x 50% = 4% (if no choose chip) or = 40% x 50% x 67% = 13% (if choose chip)
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Darclyte
Member
07-11-2005
| Sunday, July 24, 2011 - 4:44 am
Former HGs have stated that they check the bag to make sure everyone who is eligible has a chip and only 1 each.
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Pippin04
Member
10-26-2007
| Sunday, July 24, 2011 - 5:43 am
Thanks Kitt I forgot about the you choose chip.
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